Consumer prices edged up by 0.2% in June, the best showing since January and far below May's 0.7% surge, the Labor Department reported July 18. Core inflation, which excludes the volatile energy and food sectors, also rose a modest 0.2% in June. For June, clothing prices fell by 0.6%, while new car prices were flat. Airline ticket prices, however, jumped by 0.9%.
Wholesale prices also fell by 0.2% in June, the first decline since a 0.6% dip in January, the Labor Department said July 17. However, core wholesale inflation, which strips out food and energy costs, marched ahead at a higher-than-expected 0.3% in June.
The Conference Board said on July 19 that its index of economic indicators -- a gauge of future economic activity -- fell 0.3% in June, worse than the 0.1% drop analysts expected. The five negative contributors were building permits, unemployment claims, consumer expectations, vendor performance and interest rate spread.
For the week, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages remained unchanged from the previous week, Freddie Mac said July 19.
Meanwhile, jobless claims fell by 8,000 from the previous week, reaching their lowest level in two months, the Labor Department reported July 19. The nation's unemployment rate remains at 4.5%.
This week look for updates on existing home sales on July 25, and new home sales and durable goods orders on July 26.
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Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) said on July 11 that it expects existing-home sales to rise to nearly 6.4 million units in 2008, up from the 2007 estimate of more than 6.1 million. Nearly 6.5 million existing homes were sold in 2006, NAR said.
As for new homes, NAR projected sales of 865,000 in 2007, and 878,000 next year, but the 2008 projection would still be down more than 20% compared with the nearly 1.1 million new homes sold in 2006.
Consumer borrowing rose at an annual rate of 6.4% in May, far above the small 1.1% gain in April and double what analysts had forecast, the Federal Reserve reported July 9. According to David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's, some of the credit card surge reflects the fact that tightening bank standards are making home equity loans harder to obtain and home values are not soaring as they did during the housing boom.
Addressing a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on July 10, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke noted that Americans' expectations about inflation play an important role for Federal Reserve policy makers in their efforts to tame inflation. His talk dimmed hopes for a reduction in the Fed's key interest rate, which has held steady at 5.25% for just over a year.
This week look for updates on the Producer Price Index on July 17 and the Consumer Price Index on July 18.
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Orange County Historical Single Family Home Prices
Year
Average Sales Price
Dollar Increase
Percent Change
1970
$ 27,000
1971
$ 27,700
$ 700
2.59%
1972
$ 28,400
2.53%
1973
$ 31,500
$ 3,100
10.92%
1974
$ 38,400
$ 6,900
21.90%
1975
$ 44,300
$ 5,900
15.36%
1976
$ 55,000
$ 10,700
24.15%
1977
$ 70,100
$ 15,100
27.45%
1978
$ 81,100
$ 11,000
15.69%
1979
$ 93,400
$ 12,300
15.17%
1980
$ 107,100
$ 13,700
14.67%
15.04%
1981
$ 118,100
10.27%
1982
$ 120,200
$ 2,100
1.78%
1983
$ 132,700
$ 12,500
10.40%
1984
$ 133,900
$ 1,200
0.90%
1985
$ 138,200
$ 4,300
3.21%
1986
$ 146,200
$ 8,000
5.79%
1987
$ 165,700
$ 19,500
13.34%
1988
$ 210,600
$ 44,900
27.10%
1989
$ 248,200
$ 37,600
17.85%
1990
$ 257,300
$ 9,100
3.67%
9.43%
1991
$ 246,900
$ (10,400)
-4.04%
1992
$ 238,700
$ (8,200)
-3.32%
1993
$ 221,500
$ (17,200)
-7.21%
1994
$ 215,800
$ (5,700)
-2.57%
1995
$ 213,300
$ (2,500)
-1.16%
1996
$ 211,100
$ (2,200)
-1.03%
1997
$ 217,300
$ 6,200
2.94%
1998
$ 251,200
$ 33,900
15.60%
1999
$ 273,500
$ 22,300
8.88%
2000
$ 300,400
$ 26,900
9.84%
}
2001
$ 334,800
$ 34,400
11.45%
2002
$ 391,600
$ 56,800
16.97%
14.75%
2003
$ 458,600
$ 67,000
17.11%
6yr Avg.
2004
$ 535,000
$ 76,400
16.66%
2005
$ 623,275
$ 88,275
16.50%
35 Year Average
9.75%
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